Trading is ultimately about trade-offs. Every decision you make in the market comes with its own set of pros and cons, and understanding these can significantly improve your trading strategy and results. In this article, which was inspired from a recent Trading Mentorship Group session, I’ll highlight some of the common trade-offs that traders deal with on a daily basis.
selling at target vs setting a trailing stop
One of the most common trade-offs traders face (and a question that comes up frequently) is deciding when to sell. Selling into strength means selling when the price is rising and approaching your predetermined target, which can help lock in profits. However, this might mean missing out on a bigger move. Conversely, not selling into strength can lead to giving back some (if not all) of the gains if the price reverses. This decision can be crucial, especially during volatile market conditions. A broad solution that many of our mentorship group traders use is to sell partial at the pre-planned target and then set a trailing stop for the remainder of the position.
locking the “sure thing” win vs holding for higher
If you consistently sell every winner at 4 points, you are guaranteed to never capture a 10-point winner. This conservative approach ensures small, consistent gains but prevents you from capitalizing on bigger, more lucrative moves. On the other hand, if you aim for home run gains, you must be prepared to sit through uncomfortable pullbacks and watch perfectly good gains evaporate, and likely have an overall lower hit rate. Very similar to the last point, if you are able to scale out as price proves you correct, you can reduce your risk and pad the trading session with profits.
Wider Stops and Position Size
Using a wider stop loss requires a smaller position size, though has the advantage of keeping you in a trade for longer. This trade-off reduces the risk of getting stopped out prematurely but limits your potential profit per trade. It's a balancing act between protecting your capital and maximizing your gains. Through experience, you’ll find a “sweet spot” that resonates well with your strategy and emotional threshold for risk.
Anticipating breakouts vs waiting for retest
Anticipating a breakout can be a double-edged sword. If the breakout fails, you've committed capital that could have been used elsewhere. On the other hand, waiting for confirmation of the breakout and a retest of the breakout point means you’ll pay a higher price and potentially may not get into the trade at all. Not all breakout points are retested.
Opportunity Costs
Every trading decision involves opportunity costs. Whether it's deciding when to enter or exit a trade, the resources you allocate to one opportunity mean they are not available for another. This underscores the importance of strategic decision-making and careful planning in trading, which should take place before the session starts. A common example that is discussed in the Trading Mentorship Group is when ES and NQ develop setups at the same time. Which one should the trader go with? Often times, there are small variances in the quality of the setups that have an impact on their probability and profit potential. Always opt for the A+ quality trade.
Balancing Trading Decisions
Trading decisions don't have to be all-or-nothing propositions. Much like some of the previous points mention, you can sell some of your position into strength and trail the rest, balancing the security of locked-in gains with the potential for more significant profits. Similarly, you can buy a portion of your position in anticipation of a breakout and add more once the breakout is confirmed with a retest.
Hard stops vs staggered stops
Stops can also be staggered. Placing half your position stop at the structure lows (the obvious spot) and the other half further away can protect you from normal market volatility while still offering some protection against larger moves against you.
Mental and Emotional Preparedness
Understanding what you can mentally handle and execute consistently is crucial. You must be in tune with your mental and emotional state, recognizing what triggers cause you to deviate from your trading plan and when you need to walk away for a breather or for the entirety of the session. If you can't stand a long losing streak and a low batting average, using a very tight stop might not be for you. Tight stops almost guarantee a low hit rate, and most traders don't have the mental fortitude to deal with being stopped out multiple times in a row without deviating from their system. Recognize where your emotional weak points are and develop a trading style that helps you avoid those areas.
Finding Your Triggers
Identify your triggers—those specific scenarios that cause you to stray from your trading plan. Once you recognize them, you can develop strategies to structure your trading to minimize these triggers and maximize your strengths. This might mean trading with wider stops and smaller positions, aiming for a higher batting average, fewer stop-outs, and greater mental clarity. You won’t know your “trading personality” until you have logged hundreds of real trades.
Conclusion
Trading is about making informed decisions and understanding the trade-offs involved. By being aware of these trade-offs and tailoring your strategy to your mental and emotional strengths, you can create a trading approach that works best for you. This balance will help you navigate the complexities of the market and improve your overall trading performance. If you struggle with deciding which trade-offs need to be made, or how one way may benefit you over another, sign up for a weekly sit-in of the Trading Mentorship Group and get your questions answered.